PP linx

Adena Springs/Stronach
Zayat
Dogwood
Darley Sires
SpendThrift Farm
Vinery
WinStar
Bob Baffert
Gary Contessa
Todd Pletcher
Kiaran McLaughlin
Dale Romans
Graham Motion
Doug O'Neill
Barclay Tagg
Mark Hennig
Harold James Bond
David Donk
Godolphin
Bongo
McPeek
Eoin Harty

122807 Lesson

Race 2: CHEAP maiden claimer: three of the LONGEST shots on the board won; the key was seeing their trainers' MAIDEN CLAIMING ROI!
Also, look for maidens claimers that are NOT dropping in class (unless ROCK bottom) and also those who are stretching out in distance after showing SOME speed in an earlier race.

Soft turf tip...

After seeing nothing but foreign horses win on the good turf at Arlington Park, remember next time that the Euros have an advantage on softer turf surfaces.

Horses to watch...

One In A Romp had a very tough maiden race last out and was still flying at the end. Will win next out!

Latest Victory

used some creative wagering on the worst possible race: FILLY maiden claimers. There seemed to be just two contenders with any sort of reputable trainers and jockeys.
I put the 5 and 9 over the 5,9,7,6,1 over the 7,6,1 (if the 5 or 9 lost, I figured that they wouldn't finish third and, even if they did, there would be no value)...
Result:
Results
1st 9-Leaveitinthering $6.10 $3.70 $3.50
2nd 6-Expect Drama - $6.00 $4.50
3rd 1-Kitty Nip - - $6.70
4th 8-Annie Fromthegetgo
$2.00 EXACTA 9-6 $25.60
$2.00 TRIFECTA 9-6-1 $224.50

By a NOSE

This time, the nose was in our favor!
The Diana Hdcp, broadcast on ESPN, featured the Grade 1 veteran Angara from Britain. Lady of Venice was the 6/5 fave even though she had only won a Grade 3 race last out!
I put Angara on top of the 3,4, and 6 and I got shut out of the safety exacta...NO MATTER:

8th Race, Next Post 5:49 Off: 5:12

1 1/8 Miles. (Turf) 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes Purse: $500,000

# Horse Jockey Weight Win Place Show 2 Angara (GB) Jara F 120 9.60 4.10 3.10 4 Sweet Talker Dominguez R A 120 4.80 3.40 3 Argentina (IRE) Prado E S 118 3.40 Times in 5ths: :234 :474 1:121 1:362 1:491 Times in 100ths: :23.95 :47.94 1:12.22 1:36.58 1:49.20

Winning Trainer: Mott William I - Owner: Sangster Family Stable

$2 Exacta (2-4) Paid $41.60

We've been hitting more exactas lately by looking for legit longshots to come in second.

The Beatings Continue

After filling the account past the requisite $4oo mark for the third time, we took aim at the Friday twilight Belmont and Hollywood cards.
I was unimpressed with the favorite in the second preferring the 1,2, and 4 to the 5 so I put those three over the 5...
the 5 WAS unimpressive and the 1,4,2 came in as follows!:

1	Lady Jove	13.80	8.10	5.30
4	Her Royal Nibs		10.20	4.90
2	Stellar Maiden			2.80

Wager Type	Winning Number	Pool	Paid
Double	1-1	229741	65.50
Exacta	1-4	271716	94.50
Quinella	1-4	24052	52.50
Trifecta	1-4-2	214011	356.50

So a nice exacta and triple was cleanly avoided.

Insult to injury occurred in the feature in which we bet the triple with various keys, one of which was the 2-8-9. The 8 drifted out a few lanes in the stretch so the jockey of the 9 checks his horse and does and Oscar-worthy acting job as if he were just run over.
The 8 was dq-ed!

2	Society Hostess (Gomez, Garrett K. )	120	L B	2	2	7-2 1/2	6-2 1/2	-	3-2	1-1/4	4.10
8 DQ	Gilded Gold (Castellano, Javier )	124	L	8	1	1-1/2	1-1/2	-	1-1/2	3-1 1/4	1.20*
9	Lemon Drop Gal (Desormeaux, Kent J. )	120	L B	9	4	2-1 1/2	2-1 1/2	-	2-1 1/2	2-1 1/4	6.10

Exacta

2-9

314703

67.00

Trifecta

2-9-8

239418

175.50

Things only got worse at Hollywood.
You have to stick with the COMPETENT trainers and (at H'wood) jockeys.

Memorial Day Weekend

Early action on Saturday...
lost the early Pick 3 by ignoring the $16 TVG pick...
live blogging...
trying to recoup on a cheap maiden race: the 4th at Belmont...
bet practically all combos...
1,5,7,8 with 1,3,5,7,8,9 because the 2-1 favorite, NY Moon only ran once and came 4th...
many unraced horses in this field that may surprise....
they're in the gate....
the favorite got killed as predicted BUT the 2 led and STAYED up for second clearly....
came in 1,2,7,9....could have hit for a price!

1 Run Red Run Luzzi M J 118 10.20 6.50 5.20 2 Good Going Darl Jara F 118 20.60 13.80 7 Ghostly Music Arroyo N Jr 118 8.30 Times in 5ths: :223 :453 :572 1:094 Times in 100ths: :22.65 :45.68 :57.52 1:09.87

Scratched: Gottahaveacat

Also ran: Back Door Deal, Two G's, New York Moon, Gold Pageantry and Clearly Diplomatic

Winning Trainer: Bush Thomas M - Owner: Anstu Stables, Inc.

$2 Exacta (1-2) Paid $179.50

$2 Quinella (1-2) Paid $107.00

$2 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $1,199.00

$2 Pick 3 (3-6-1) 3 Correct Paid $258.50 Pick 3 Pool $89,897

$2 Superfecta (1-2-7-9) Paid $4,311.00

The next race, bet the 5,6,7,8,9 box; a turf race with the favorite, who had only won a maiden claimer...but the favorite, the 9 won again for a cheap exacta so we had a net loss of $3:

# Horse Jockey Weight Win Place Show 9 Sweetiewheatie Luzzi M J 123 4.40 2.70 2.20 8 Curlew Road Velasquez C 118 6.80 3.90 5 Western Revenge Gomez G K 118 2.60 Times in 5ths: :253 :502 1:143 1:382 1:50 Times in 100ths: :25.65 :50.50 1:14.63 1:38.44 1:50.02

Scratched: A Wild Minute, Interline and Shoot the Wad

Claimed: Sweetiewheatie by Gyarmati Leah (Castle Village Farm ),

Also ran: Killer Speed, Morning's Image, Ross to Dublin, Fierce Storm and Gin Societe

Winning Trainer: Lewis Lisa L - Owner: Karches Susan

$2 Exacta (9-8) Paid $35.40

In the sixth, the 7, Dreaming of Victory had just won by 10 and had the best Beyer in the field; played 7 on top of 8,6,4 and reverse:

4 Raceland Arroyo N Jr 116 16.40 7.70 4.60 1 He's a Lumberjack Velasquez C 116 5.60 4.10 6 Always Albert Castellano J J 118 4.10 Times in 5ths: :231 :461 1:10 1:34 Times in 100ths: :23.23 :46.31 1:10.02 1:34.19

Also ran: Democrat, Dreamin of Victory, Start At Five, My Big Treasure and Cooking the Books

Winning Trainer: Violette Richard A Jr - Owner: Martin Michael T.

$2 Exacta (4-1) Paid $94.00

the 7 was NOT ready to run and was out of it from the start....
the 1 was a Calder shipper who didn't look that great.

The 7th had the lock favorite in combos with the5,6 and 8 and a reverse 6-1...I through out the 9 at the last minute:

1 My Dynomite Prado E S 118 3.10 2.20 2.10 6 DH-Trading Pro Gomez G K 116 2.70 3.70 9 DH-Air Race Smith M E 122 3.10 4.40 Times in 5ths: :222 :443 1:09 1:222 Times in 100ths: :22.56 :44.74 1:09.19 1:22.46

Scratched: Frank's Fuse and Impeachthepro

Also ran: Fire One Up, Just in Fun, Step It Up, Senor Freddie and The Trip Continues

Winning Trainer: Dutrow Richard E Jr - Owner: Winged Foot Stables, Gooch, M., Dubb, M., Goldfarb, S., J., Joscelyn, R.

$2 Exacta (1-6) Paid $6.20

$2 Exacta (1-9) Paid $8.10

The dead heat kiled the exacta price which I had twice.

In the feature, the Sheepshead Bay Hcp, we liked Honey Ryder, who won, but the second and third choices we flat...had $4 exactas on 1-5,1-6,5-6 and $2 on 5-1:

1 Honey Ryder Gomez G K 121 4.80 3.50 2.50 4 Noble Stella (GER) Smith M E 116 9.80 4.50 6 Angara (GB) Prado E S 119 3.70 Times in 5ths: :243 :50 1:142 1:382 2:124 Times in 100ths: :24.69 :50.12 1:14.58 1:38.42 2:12.98

Scratched: Half Heaven

Also ran: Asi Siempre, Serendipitous, Latice (IRE) and Tisket a Tasket

Winning Trainer: Pletcher Todd A - Owner: Glencrest Farm LLC

$2 Exacta (1-4) Paid $40.40

didn't even bet the 9th because the favorites figured by far...they did win but I liked the winner who ended up paying $8.
Net loss on the day: $54